Bill Gates telling a German audience that the iPod isn’t going to last is about as obvious as asking them if they like driving fast on the autobahn. Here was his quote:

“I don’t think the success of the iPod can continue in the long term, however good Apple may be.”

I don’t think the success of any computer product will last for “the long term.” What Gates is referring to is his belief that the SmartPhones will take over the iPod in the future.

I’m not so certain of this prediction, just like I doubted Gates prediction that he would eradicate spam within two years (which he’s about a half a year away from, BTW).

Mobile phones may be all the rage now but what happens when broadband WiFi is more widespread? What about encroachment from VoIP? I keep talking about EV-DO and as soon as it’s available in our area I’ll be so there. Then I’ll be able to use VoIP through the EV-DO and skip the need for a cell phone in our local area. At least that’s the plan. I’ll gladly trade a $125/month cell phone bill for a $80/month EV-DO broadband WiFi internet bill.

The dark horse is VoIP and I think cell phone companies should be very concerned about their cash cow being milked.

Did this post make you go hmm?

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